- The Altcoin season index fell to 26, showing the domination of Bitcoin, but leaving room for a future Alt pivot.
- A decision supported around $ 270 billion in market capitalization is essential to validate the escape structure of the Alt season.
The global cryptocurrency markets have seen a slight rebound, but it was altcoins – not Bitcoin (BTC) – which led. Naturally, this has aroused the speculation of a potential sale. However, the data painted a different image.
Deaf exchange entries signal calm in the middle of volatility
While the price oscillations intensified, the number of transactions of the exchange entries for altcoins has remained moderate.
On the main platforms such as Binance, Coinbase, Okx and Bybit, the starters barely crossed 30,000 – well below the 100,000 peaks and more observed during previous corrections in March and December 2024.
It was different from the past, where Altcoin sales were seen before large corrections.
The flat influx scheme represented a change in the behavior of traders, possibly decentralized (DEX) and stablecoin in USDC and USDT.
Source: Julio Moreno / X
It’s calm … too calm
However, when the data consider only centralized exchanges, it can be distorted from the entire market activity.
The silent influx was an indication that the holders have not yet launched to sell positions. This indicated fewer parts and a longer -term potential purchase.
With the uncertainty of geopolitical tensions, the index of fear and greed at 52 indicated that the feeling had reset the neutral following the severe flower which took most of the cryptos in the red.
It was an indication that panic was growing and cleaning efforts were in progress.
Source: CoinmarketCap
The neutral level was neither an indication of excessive greed nor a fear, but rather a sign of prudent optimism. The recent volatility and the liquidation -focused declines have led to a reset of the markets.
Can the Altcoin season index turn around?
An overview of the Altcoin season index has shown that metrics went up to 26 after being in the 1930s before.
This said Bitcoin has always dominated recent volatility. However, the Altcoins were not entirely sidelined – certain signs of recovery emerged.
If the index is crossed above 50, it would confirm a stronger Altcoin trend. For the moment, the scale has turned to Bitcoin, but the dynamics could move quickly.
Source: CoinmarketCap
Already seen? 2025 Matrors 2021 Model
Winding up, the comparison of the Altcoin 2021 and 2025 season showed one thing common after another, that is to say a “double false” slightly below the mobile average of a month, then a powerful recovery.
At the time, it led to a several month altcoin rally.
In 2025, we have already seen two sharp wicks under 180 billion dollars, both followed by recovery. The structure is in place, but the execution depends on what comes next.
Source: Merlijn the trader / x
Nevertheless, the volume and the macro were still absent in 2025. If the force gathers around 270 billion dollars in global Altcoin cap, we can see an escape.
However, the inability to stay above the MA can reject this decision. The configuration was in place, although it needs more support and flow based on public services to assert it.
